It's been 6 months since the last "No Program Specified" draw (which includes the Federal Skilled Worker Program)!
Last FSW draw was in December, 2020
Since then, IRCC has been sending ITAs only through the Canadian Experience Class program (in red on the chart above) or Provincial Nominee Program (in yellow).
But that (hopefully) is about to change!
Here are 5 signs that FSW draws should be back soon:
Since June 21, 2021, If you have a COPR (Confirmation of Permanent Residence), you can travel to Canada .
COPR holders can now travel to Canada
The Confirmation of Permanent Residence (COPR) is the last step of the Permanent Residence application. It allows you to travel to Canada to do the landing (where you actually become a PR).
The fact that COPR holders can now travel to Canada again means that at least one door is finally reopen for immigrants from abroad!
The rule is still only for COPR holders, which means IRCC must already have approved your application for Permanent Residence. But is a good sign that things might be getting back to normal!
Canada has recognized the efficiency of some vaccines, and now considers safe to receive people that had both doses of those.
Starting July 5, 2021, if you are fully vaccinated, you won't need to quarantine or do COVID-19 tests once you get up here (in Canada).
This is the list of currently accepted vaccines:
Canada had 3 waves, each stronger than the other.
But now numbers are going back to mid-2020 levels, and 30% of the population is fully vaccinated!
New cases of COVID-19 in Canada
The pandemic was probably the main reason that IRCC stopped inviting FSW candidates.
Which makes total sense - with all travel restrictions in place, there was no way the country would invite people over.
But now, with the numbers going down, things should get back on track soon.
This is another sign that IRCC is just waiting for the pandemic to give us a break before bringing FSW draws again!
When things were getting better last year. Or better said, when we thought things were getting better, we had a few invitations rounds for FSW ("No Program Specified").
Once things started to get worst again, those stopped though.
We had some FSW draws when things seemed to be ok
Now, with the scenario becoming more optimistic again, hopefully we'll see "no program specified" again!
The whole goal of these economic programs (FSW, CEC, PNP, etc.) is to bring in skilled immigrants!
But since the pandemic hit, we've been seeing mostly CEC and PNP invitations.
On the CEC side specifically, the minimum score required to be invited has been dropping considerably, and it's currently at 357 (June 24, 2021), which is pretty low.
This mean that the "quality" (that is probably not the best word) of the candidates being selected is going down.
Which makes us wonder... Which so many highly qualified candidates out there (waiting for FSW), which should Canada keep inviting no-so-qualified candidates through CEC?
Another sign that FSW should come back soon!
Minimum Scores required for each draw - CEC going down!
This article is not based on IRCC strategy. It is an analysis (guess?) from the author regarding the short-term future of FSW invitation draws for Express Entry.