Everything seems to be coming back to normal again!
IRCC finally stopped inviting PNP and CEC only... and the good old "No Program Specified" draws are back!
And this time it seems that it's back to stay!
Most likely yes.
No Program Specified has been the default draw type since Express Entry started, back in 2015.
So now that the pandemic is over, IRCC already made it clear that that will be the new norm again.
Two strong signs indicate that the minimum CRS score will go down in 2023:
In other words, IRCC has been inviting people faster than new applications are coming in. Which is great news, it means that your chances of receiving an ITA are getting bigger and bigger.
When "no program specified" draws happen, everybody is competing with everybody. And that seems to be the new norm from now on.
So, at the end of the day, whoever has more points is in!
That said, if you receive a province nomination, you get 600 points, which will probably guarantee you an invitation to apply (ITA)!
So, if you feel like you have a good chance to get a province nomination, then PNP is definitely the way to go for you.
But if you can't find a PNP that might work for you, then it's probably to focus on FSW and collecting as many points as possible.Check out our article with the full list of ways to immigrate to Canada to try to find a PNP that might work for you.
Although we can get a pretty good estimate by looking at the recent trend, the exact CRS score is impossible to predict.
The last draw (at time of writing) was in November 23, 2022, and the minimum score was 491. If IRCC keeps inviting the same number of people on next draws, that number should go down, but nothing too drastic.
The "student route" has some disadvantages:
But in the other hand, it can help you get a province nomination or some extra points for FSW.
The decision if it's best for you or no is very personal. I personally don't like the idea of coming to Canada as a student and then try to become a permanent resident. But in my case I'm already reaching my 40's, with two kids, and I had somewhat a comfortable life back home (in Brazil).
There is just to much risk in it for me. If I was a young, single guy, I'd probably see things differently.
The analysis and opinions expressed above represents a personal view of the author.
IRCC is the only entity that knows what the next draws will look like, and that information is not made public until the draw actually happens.