Published by Gabriel Oliveira
on December 07, 2022

Express Entry Draws Predictions for 2023

Everything seems to be coming back to normal again!

IRCC finally stopped inviting PNP and CEC only... and the good old "No Program Specified" draws are back!

And this time it seems that it's back to stay!

Will there only be "No Program Specified" draws from now on?

Most likely yes.

No Program Specified has been the default draw type since Express Entry started, back in 2015.

So now that the pandemic is over, IRCC already made it clear that that will be the new norm again.

Will the minimum CRS score go down in 2023?

Probably yes!

Two strong signs indicate that the minimum CRS score will go down in 2023:

  1. Scores are already going down since July! (see chart above)
  2. The number of candidates on the Express Entry pool is also going down!

In other words, IRCC has been inviting people faster than new applications are coming in. Which is great news, it means that your chances of receiving an ITA are getting bigger and bigger.

FSW or PNP? Which one is better?

When "no program specified" draws happen, everybody is competing with everybody. And that seems to be the new norm from now on.

So, at the end of the day, whoever has more points is in!

That said, if you receive a province nomination, you get 600 points, which will probably guarantee you an invitation to apply (ITA)!

So, if you feel like you have a good chance to get a province nomination, then PNP is definitely the way to go for you.

But if you can't find a PNP that might work for you, then it's probably to focus on FSW and collecting as many points as possible.

Check out our article with the full list of ways to immigrate to Canada to try to find a PNP that might work for you.

What will be the minimum score on the next draw?

Although we can get a pretty good estimate by looking at the recent trend, the exact CRS score is impossible to predict.

The last draw (at time of writing) was in November 23, 2022, and the minimum score was 491. If IRCC keeps inviting the same number of people on next draws, that number should go down, but nothing too drastic.

Should I go as a student and then try PNP?

The "student route" has some disadvantages:

  1. It requires a big investment (course price).
  2. You probably won't be able to work full time.
  3. You usually rely on getting a job offer, which is not a sure thing.
  4. You will spend some years studying, working, and receiving little money. In other words, prepare for a rough time.

But in the other hand, it can help you get a province nomination or some extra points for FSW.

The decision if it's best for you or no is very personal. I personally don't like the idea of coming to Canada as a student and then try to become a permanent resident. But in my case I'm already reaching my 40's, with two kids, and I had somewhat a comfortable life back home (in Brazil).

There is just to much risk in it for me. If I was a young, single guy, I'd probably see things differently.

Disclaimer

The analysis and opinions expressed above represents a personal view of the author.

IRCC is the only entity that knows what the next draws will look like, and that information is not made public until the draw actually happens.


Comments

Saad Hassan Saad Dec 21, 2022 06:01:18

I have 2 Canadian sons from X wife and one USA son and one USA daughter and one Canadian sister and one Canadian brother, all Canadians family lives in Calgary Alberta, I have a BA degree and around 38 years experience in Accounting, I am 63 years old, I have around 4 Millions USD and would like to join my family in Calgary for the rest of my life and do a small business like 7 11 store or similar...

Sridhar Santhanam Dec 21, 2022 07:49:21

Call Novus Immigration @+91 7204997391 or WhatsApp and we will help you realize your dream!!!

Kinjal Bhadani Dec 24, 2022 20:49:15

Please we are planning to come to Calgary plz can u help us and can u be in contact with us email id is kinjalbhadani2002@gmail.com

Hina (9246496196/6300508807) Jan 09, 2023 10:04:00

Hello Mr Saad, good day to you. As per your details, you can apply for Super Visa orelse Investor visa., as visit visa will be of temporary visit for just months. reach me out i will guide you on the same via whatsapp or normal call.

Hina (9246496196/6300508807) Jan 09, 2023 10:04:00

Hello Mr Saad, good day to you. As per your details, you can apply for Super Visa orelse Investor visa., as visit visa will be of temporary visit for just months. reach me out i will guide you on the same via whatsapp or normal call.

SridharSantahanam Dec 21, 2022 07:46:49

Call Novus Immigration @+91 7204997391 or WhatsApp and we will help you realize your dream!!!

Abiy yonas debeko Dec 24, 2022 10:50:20

It is good Please put the format we used user name &password.

Jalpa Dec 30, 2022 07:11:02

When next cec draw date

Jalpa Dec 30, 2022 07:11:03

When next cec draw date

Reza Jan 12, 2023 09:25:52

Hello my friend. My CRS score is 398. how am I close to get ITA within the next 2 years?

Reza Jan 12, 2023 09:25:53

Hello my friend. My CRS score is 398. how am I close to get ITA within the next 2 years?

sam Jan 17, 2023 18:30:19

I am too my crs score is 399 right now in the pool. planning to retake IELTS exam for it can help increase. my work permit get expired in 2024. not sure if I can get extension. where do you work now?

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